TORONTO _ Here's some simple advice for CFL fans trying to figure
out the league's muddled playoff picture heading into the final
third of the regular season.
Don't bother.
Seven of the CFL's eight teams remain in serious playoff
contention, with six being separated by just five points. What's
more, the club not expected to make the post-season _ the Hamilton
Tiger-Cats (2-10) _ showed with last weekend's win over Calgary it's
more than capable of being a playoff spoiler.
The B.C. Lions (8-4-1) top the ultra-competitive West Division
and again have established themselves as the class of the league.
Despite injuries to starter Dave Dickenson and backup Buck Pierce,
the Lions have shown they can win with No. 3 Jarious Jackson. It was
Jackson's 33-yard touchdown pass to Geroy Simon on third down with
just 34 seconds remaining that earned B.C. a comeback 37-34 win
Saturday over Saskatchewan and a three-point lead over the
Roughriders in the standings.
Saskatchewan (7-5) was the CFL's feel-good story at mid-season, a
team in contention in the West Division despite an abundance of new
faces and a new head coach in Kent Austin. The club's early-season
success had many in Regina believing the club would finally host a
home playoff game for the first time since '88.
The Riders remain second in the standings one point ahead of
Calgary (6-5-1), but have lost three straight. The Stamps' schedule,
though, isn't an easy one, either with games against B.C. (two),
Winnipeg (two), Saskatchewan and Montreal.
In addition to facing Calgary, Saskatchewan's stretch run
includes games against Hamilton (twice), Montreal, Edmonton and
Toronto.
Hamilton, though, might just have delivered Regina's
long-suffering fans that elusive home playoff contest. Calgary
quarterback Henry Burris, who surpassed the 300-yard passing plateau
Friday night for the sixth time in seven games but suffered a
suspected dislocated left shoulder and is likely out four-to-six
weeks. That means former NFL first-round pick Akili Smith, whose
interception after Burris's departure clinched the Ticats' win, will
move to No. 1 and start next week against B.C.
Then there's fourth-place Edmonton (5-6-1), which is not only
just three points out of second in the West, but has a one-point
lead over Toronto in the crossover scenario heading into a crucial
home-and-home series with the Argos.
However, given Saskatchewan's struggles and Calgary's injury
woes, the Eskimos can't yet be counted out of the West playoff
picture, either, although Edmonton's schedule calls for games
against Toronto (two), B.C. (two) and Saskatchewan before finishing
up against Hamilton.
Winnipeg (7-4-1) remains the team to beat in the East Division.
The Bombers not only have the CFL's passing leader in Kevin Glenn,
but one of the league's best running backs in Charles Roberts and a
deep receiving corps with Milt Stegall, Derick Armstrong and
Terrence Edwards.
Stegall didn't play in Winnipeg's 31-23 road loss to Toronto on
Sunday, and the Bombers could've certainly used him in an otherwise
lethargic opening half that resulted in just 78 total offensive
yards. Glenn lit it up in the second half with 380 passing yards and
two touchdowns but fell just short in comeback bid.
First place in the East is definitely Winnipeg's to lose. But
Sunday's loss was further evidence of Winnipeg's kicking woes as
veteran Troy Westwood missed two first-half field goals, again
creating concern that could come back to haunt the Bombers in the
playoffs.
The real fight, though, is for second.
Montreal (6-6) currently holds down second spot, but is just two
points ahead of Toronto (5-7), with a crucial home-and-home series
between the two looming. The Als also face Saskatchewan, Hamilton,
Calgary and Winnipeg down the stretch.
Montreal looked like a solid bet to contend in the East midway
through the season. It had won four straight with first-year running
back Jarrett Payton in the lineup, but starter Anthony Calvillo went
down with a shoulder injury following a 46-14 loss to B.C. on Aug.
31.
After leading the Alouettes to a 32-14 win over the Lions the
following week, backup Marcus Brady has lost two straight and now
has a bum leg. And as a team, the Als look more like the squad that
opened the season by losing three of its first four games.
Yet Calvillo is expected to resume practising at full speed this
week and, depending on how he fares, could be back under centre when
Montreal visits Saskatchewan on Saturday. The truth is without
Calvillo, the Alouettes' playoff plight looks dim.
The Argos enter a crucial four-game stretch that could decide
their playoff fate. Toronto will open a home-and-home series with
Edmonton at Commonwealth Stadium on Saturday, then set its sights on
a two-game set with Montreal.
The Edmonton series is important because Toronto has one less
point than the West Division club. If at season's end the Eskimos
remain fourth in the West but have more points than the third-place
Argos, then Edmonton will cross over and become the East Division's
third playoff seed.
A sweep of Edmonton would not only give Toronto three more points
than the Eskimos, but also turn up the heat on Montreal heading into
its two-game series with the Alouettes in two weeks. The Argos'
other remaining games are against Winnipeg and Saskatchewan.
The good news for the Argos is they're getting healthier. Top
receiver Arland Bruce III returned Sunday after missing time with a
shoulder injury and running mate Tony Miles should be back very
soon.
Mathematically, Hamilton remains in contention. But a more likely
scenario is the Ticats being the fly in other teams' ointment down
the stretch. The hamstring injury new quarterback Casey Printers
suffered against Calgary isn't serious, so he should return soon.
But backup Richie Williams served notice Friday against Calgary
he's more than capable of leading the offence. Williams replaced
Printers late in the first half with Hamilton trailing 17-6 and
rallied the Ticats to a 24-20 victory.
And with games remaining against Winnipeg, Montreal, Saskatchewan
(two), B.C. and Edmonton, the Ticats are in a glorious position to
decide who finishes where.